A sewing machine with a treadle

Careers Baby Boomers Thought Were Safe That Became Much Riskier Over Time


September 21, 2026 | J. Clarke

Careers Baby Boomers Thought Were Safe That Became Much Riskier Over Time


The Safe Job Was Never Supposed To Disappear

For many baby boomers, a “safe” career meant a large employer, a recognizable occupation, and work that seemed hard to eliminate. Technology, consolidation, changing consumer habits, and globalization rewrote that bargain. Manufacturing fell from 19.6 million jobs in June 1979 to 12.8 million in June 2019.

A sewing machine with a treadleFinnish Heritage Agency, Wikimedia Commons

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Engine And Machine Assembler

Factory work once offered a path from entry-level production to skilled positions and supervision. Manufacturing never returned to its 1979 employment peak after later downturns. Engine and other machine assemblers are projected to lose 17 percent of their jobs from 2025 to 2035.

Inside the Volkswagen plant. The bodies are dropped from an overhead line to be attached to the chassis.Roger Wollstadt, Wikimedia Commons

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Machinist And Tool-And-Die Maker

Skilled machining looked safer than basic assembly because it demanded precision and experience. Computer-controlled equipment changed the labor equation. Overall employment for these workers is projected to decline 1 percent through 2035.

Public Affairs Bureau photograph, Provincial Archives of Alberta, PA3318/2.Provincial Archives of Alberta, Wikimedia Commons

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Sewing Machine Operator

Garment production once supported large domestic workforces in factory towns and cities. Apparel and textile manufacturing became one of the hardest-hit parts of U.S. manufacturing after 1979. Sewing machine operator employment is projected to decline 15 percent between 2025 and 2035.

Women at work inside a garment manufacturing factory.Unknown authorUnknown author, Wikimedia Commons

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Prepress And Print-Finishing Worker

Printing once required crews to prepare pages, plates, bindings, and finished products. Digital publishing and automation reduced those needs. Prepress technicians are projected to decline 15 percent through 2035, while print binding and finishing workers are projected to fall about 18 percent.

Printing workers in Davar NewspaperVan Der Poll, Wikimedia Commons

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Postal Service Worker

A postal job carried the appeal of a public employer and steady demand for physical mail. First-Class Mail volume exceeded 103 billion pieces in 2001 but fell to about 42 billion in 2025. Postal-service employment is projected to decline 1 percent through 2035.

Description: This is an image of a postal employee working at a mechanized machine that sorts envelopes based on ZIP code.
Creator/Photographer: Unidentified photographer
Medium: Black and white photographic print
Geography: USA
Date: 1965
Collection: U.SSmithsonian Institution from United States, Wikimedia Commons

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Bank Teller

Tellers were once essential to nearly every routine banking transaction. Mobile deposits, online banking, enhanced ATMs, and fewer branches reduced foot traffic and staffing needs. Teller employment is projected to fall 13 percent from 2025 to 2035.

Bank teller at work. (1992)Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wikimedia Commons

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Secretary And Administrative Assistant

Secretaries once handled typing, scheduling, correspondence, and document preparation that managers could not easily do themselves. Digital tools and AI now let employees complete more of that work directly. Overall secretary and administrative-assistant employment is projected to decline 2 percent through 2035.

Finnish poet Aale Tynni is depicted in her creative work on the porch of her summer cottage.Uusi Suomi, Wikimedia Commons

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Word Processor And Typist

Typing was once a specialized office skill that supported a full-time occupation. Modern office software put the same capability on nearly every employee’s desk. Word processors and typists now top the federal list of fastest-declining occupations, with employment projected to fall 34 percent by 2035.

Le 1er concours de machines à calculer a eu lieu le 24 avril 1921 à Magic City, rue de l’Université. Sur 15 marques concurrentes et 60 opérateurs en compétition, presque tous les premiers prix ont été raflés par la machine Comptometer et ses opérateurs.
LAgence Rol, Wikimedia Commons

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Data Entry Keyer

Organizations once needed workers whose main job was moving information from paper into databases. Digital forms, scanning, integrated software, and automated data capture reduced that need. Data entry keyer employment is projected to decline roughly 26 percent from 2025 to 2035.

Key punch operators, Seattle, Washington, 1960.Seattle Municipal Archives from Seattle, WA, Wikimedia Commons

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File Clerk

Paper records created jobs around sorting, storing, retrieving, and maintaining documents. Electronic filing and shared digital systems shifted many of those duties to software and other staff. File clerk employment is projected to decline 16 percent over the 2025–2035 period.

Filing clerk at work. (1992)Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wikimedia Commons

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Payroll And Timekeeping Clerk

Payroll departments once depended on clerks to track hours, pay rates, deductions, and leave. More payroll and timekeeping work is now automated, reducing staffing needs. Employment for payroll and timekeeping clerks is projected to drop 16 percent from 2025 to 2035.

Bank clerk operating a teleprocessing machineDukas, Getty Images

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Bookkeeper

Bookkeeping remains important, but its routine clerical side is shrinking. Accounting software automates posting, reconciliation, and recordkeeping that once required more staff. Employment of bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks is projected to decline 6 percent through 2035.

Title / Titre : 
Retail accounting / 
Service de la comptabilité au détail
Creator(s) / Créateur(s) : Unknown / Inconnu
Date(s) :  circa / vers 1955
Reference No. / Numéro de référence :  ITEM 5092314
central.bac-lac.gc.ca/.redirect?app=fonandcol&id=5092.BiblioArchives / LibraryArchives, Wikimedia Commons

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Switchboard Operator

Businesses and answering services once needed workers specifically to route incoming and outgoing calls. Automated phone systems have taken over more of that function. Switchboard operator employment is projected to shrink 26 percent between 2025 and 2035.

Jersey Telecom telephone operator at switchboard, 1975Joseph A. Carr, Wikimedia Commons

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Telephone Operator

Telephone operators still handle certain specialized requests, but automated phone systems increasingly perform their traditional work. Employment is projected to decline nearly 28 percent through 2035, putting telephone operators among the fastest-shrinking occupations in the country.

KDD (Kokusai Denshin Denwa) international telephone exchange in the 1960s.Asahi Shimbun, Wikimedia Commons

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Order Clerk

Mail-order and phone purchasing once generated substantial clerical work processing customer orders. Automated order-taking systems increasingly let customers complete the process themselves. Order clerk employment is projected to fall about 17 percent from 2025 to 2035.

<a href=Seattle Municipal Archives, Wikimedia Commons

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Customer Service Representative

Call-center and service jobs expanded as companies centralized support, but automation is moving into the same territory. Advances in AI and language processing allow computers to handle more customer interactions. Customer service representative employment is projected to decline 5 percent through 2035.

Seattle Water Department customer service, City Light Building, Seattle, Washington, U.S., circa 1960.Seattle Municipal Archives from Seattle, WA, Wikimedia Commons

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Bill And Account Collector

Collections traditionally required workers to call customers and negotiate overdue payments. Automated calling and collections software now allow employees to handle more accounts. Bill and account collector employment is projected to decline about 10 percent from 2025 to 2035.

AccountsToronto Telegram staff, Wikimedia Commons

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Cashier

Cashiers remain highly visible, but self-checkout and online shopping are reducing demand. Stores can process more transactions with fewer staffed lanes. Cashier employment is projected to decline 6 percent through 2035, representing roughly 200,000 fewer positions.

cashierUnknown author, Wikimedia Commons

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Retail Salesperson

A long career in a department store or specialty chain looked more dependable when shopping happened mainly in person. E-commerce now limits growth in physical-store employment. Retail salesperson employment is projected to show essentially no growth through 2035, with about 14,000 fewer jobs.

ShopkeeperUnknown author, Wikimedia Commons

Insurance Claims Adjuster

Insurance seemed relatively insulated from disruption because claims still require evaluation. But software can evaluate damage photos and estimate claim amounts, while AI speeds data processing. Employment for claims adjusters, appraisers, examiners, and investigators is projected to decline 6 percent through 2035.

InsuranceUnknown author, Wikimedia Commons

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Newspaper Reporter

Newspapers once supported far larger reporting staffs than they do today. Newspaper newsroom employment fell 57 percent between 2008 and 2020 as the industry underwent severe economic disruption. Reporters and journalists are projected to lose another 6 percent of employment from 2025 to 2035.

Title: Feeding one of the presses
Abstract/medium: 1 negative : glass ; 4 x 5 in. or smallerHarris & Ewing, photographer, Wikimedia Commons

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Editor

Editors have not vanished, but traditional print outlets employ fewer of them as newspapers and magazines lose ground to other formats. Newsroom contraction has hit editors alongside reporters and photographers. Overall editor employment is projected to decline 1 percent through 2035.

Photograph of Martti Huhtamäki (1935–), the editor-in-chief of Ilta-Sanomat newspaper, sitting behind his desk.Lauri Pietarinen, Wikimedia Commons

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Computer Programmer

Even a technology career can face technological disruption. Automation and AI are making programmers more efficient at repetitive tasks, while some higher-skilled work is shifting to other technology occupations. Computer programmer employment is projected to decline 7 percent between 2025 and 2035.

An Informatics General computer programmer working in a cubicle at the company's New York City office. She is looking at Pascal language code for the TAPS product on an IBM 3270 terminal.Jonathan Schilling, Wikimedia Commons

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Network And Systems Administrator

Some system-administration duties are shifting to DevOps teams, automated tools, and outside network-service providers. That changes the outlook even as organizations continue to depend on computer networks. Network and computer systems administrator employment is projected to decline 4 percent through 2035.

An IBM System/360 in use at the US Dept. of AgricultureWarren K. Leffler, Wikimedia Commons

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Computer User Support Specialist

Corporate help desks remain necessary for complicated technical problems, but automated troubleshooting tools and chatbots increasingly handle routine requests. Fewer workers are therefore expected to be needed overall. Computer support specialist employment is projected to decline 3 percent through 2035.

When this photo was taken at our headquarters in the 1980s, we had more than 30 years experience using computers and magnetic computer tape to store and tabulate census and survey data.U.S. Census Bureau employees, Wikimedia Commons

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Power Plant Operator

Growing electricity use does not necessarily translate into growing operator employment. Modern control rooms, smarter technology, and more efficient plants allow more generation with fewer workers. Power-plant operator employment is projected to decline 5 percent from 2025 to 2035.

Boundary Dam control room, 1967. Boundary Dam is dam on the Pend Oreille River, Washington state, U.S.Seattle Municipal Archives from Seattle, WA, Wikimedia Commons

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